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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Probability

45¢

1h

+2.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$999.99

Liquidity

$2.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:20
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 176.7h

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for April 25 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Boston Red Sox or Baltimore Orioles. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/scoresNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).