Will Apple dip to $228 in April?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.2pp
24h Vol
$184.61
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 139.5h
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 0¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 0¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 0¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 0¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 0¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 0¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 0¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 0¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 0¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 0¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 0¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.2pp
to 1¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 1¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 1¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.1pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.8pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 8¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).