Will Apple dip to $240 in April?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$1.03
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 136.7h
- 11:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 137h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 8¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 8¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).