Loading shell…
PoliticsExpires Apr 23, 2027

Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Probability

60¢

1h

-9.5pp

24h

+10.0pp

24h Vol

$12.12

Liquidity

$25.86

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 23:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 8701.4h

    LOW
  • 10:36Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 8701h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:36Price

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Category · Politics

Market Description

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 23, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (58.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).