Will "Lazarus" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$724.22
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 665.3h
- 06:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 665h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 12¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 11¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 11¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 12¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 11¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the Best Original Anime Award at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).