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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.8pp

24h Vol

$142.94

Liquidity

$2.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5989.1h

    LOW
  • 10:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -21.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -25.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -16.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -7.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -19.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -27.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -27.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -14.2pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -24.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
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    Probability down -28.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
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    Probability down -13.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
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    Probability down -28.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
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    Probability down -25.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
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    Probability down -24.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -26.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -25.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.9pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.9pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
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    Probability down -29.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.3pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -42.4pp

    to 3¢

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  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.7pp

    to 3¢

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  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 4¢

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  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 4¢

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  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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