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BusinessExpires May 1, 2026

Will Microsoft dip to $330 in April?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-6.8pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$857.58

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 137.2h

    LOW
  • 10:50Price

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -7.1pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.8pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.9pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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