SportsExpires Sep 1, 2026

Will Paris Saint-Germain qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?

Probability

1¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$230.65

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3078h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $231 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3078.0h

    LOW
  • 17:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3078h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.8pp at 2d ago (to 4¢).

Show all 17 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 16:00 · -3.1pp → 1¢
  • 12:00 · -3.1pp → 1¢
  • 09:00 · -3.2pp → 1¢
  • 07:00 · -3.0pp → 1¢
  • 05:00 · -3.3pp → 1¢
  • 03:00 · -3.3pp → 1¢
  • 00:00 · -3.3pp → 1¢
  • 22:00 · -3.1pp → 1¢
  • 19:00 · -3.3pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -3.1pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -3.2pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -3.3pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · +3.3pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · +3.8pp → 4¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLigue 1: Team to qualify for UEFA Europa League
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Europa League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Europa League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

9 wallets
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