Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$23.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-25.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $23.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:53SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -47.9pp at 2d ago (to 0¢).
Show all 25 hour-by-hour ticks
- 02:00 · -45.8pp → 0¢
- 00:00 · -46.4pp → 0¢
- 22:00 · -47.4pp → 0¢
- 21:00 · -47.3pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · -47.7pp → 0¢
- 19:00 · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -34.9pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -47.9pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -25.9pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -25.4pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -25.3pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -24.6pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -23.7pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -24.1pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -23.0pp → 2¢
- 3d ago · -23.5pp → 2¢
- 3d ago · -24.0pp → 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.