Smooth-Correspondent
0x147b9d151573c80ae30fc4126af9ffe4846d2646
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$193.40
Total PnL
$-53.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
34 shares @ 29.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.21
$19.32
- NO
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
26 shares @ 50.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.22
$12.98
- NO
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
25 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$25.22
$9.97
- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
34 shares @ 44.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.95
$9.00
- NO
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
22 shares @ 58.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.15
$9.13
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
18 shares @ 63.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.81
$5.54
- NO
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
19 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.76
$5.03
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
18 shares @ 59.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.62
$6.02
- NO
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.46
$4.96
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
342 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?$25.98May 25, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$16.41May 1, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye tweet again by April 30?$9.98Apr 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$10.18Apr 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$10.60Apr 17, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$10.60Apr 17, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$10.82Apr 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$11.04Apr 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$11.27Apr 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?$11.50Apr 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?$11.73Apr 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$11.97Apr 15, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?$12.21Apr 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?$12.46Apr 14, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$12.72Apr 13, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?$12.98Apr 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$13.24Apr 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?$13.51Apr 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?$13.79Apr 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$14.07Apr 13, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.