Woeful-Strap
0x5d05b1f588780423488a09d9aefeb64df54d6320
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$31.60
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$4.8K
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
27 shares @ 28.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-1.69
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.92
$0.92
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
5 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$0.71
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
29 shares @ 19.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.85
$-1.59
- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.47
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump nationalize elections?
10 shares @ 18.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.28
$0.33
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.57
$-1.18
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.58
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$5.01Jul 26, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$6.06Jul 21, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$4.82Jul 21, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEM100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$1.00Jul 21, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$1.06Jul 21, 15:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.80Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.87Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.98Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$5.32Jun 4, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: March$12.69Jun 4, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?$1.66May 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$6.70May 29, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$35.00May 23, 00:40 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.02May 22, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$35.20May 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?$33.97May 21, 07:33 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.53May 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.31May 20, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.29May 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.01May 17, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.