0x92dc38af518478aa0ab4ad84c046350fc78dae74
0x92dc38af518478aa0ab4ad84c046350fc78dae74
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$76.12
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-171.13
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
68 shares @ 78.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$57.08
$3.17
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
16 shares @ 41.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.98
$4.26
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.05
$0.10
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.02
$0.11
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
403 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
396 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-253.27
- UNDER
Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5
275 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-44.86
- HANJIN BRION
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
215 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-150.79
- TEAM SECRET
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
176 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
153 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-107.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$20.25May 16, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$35.42May 16, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$113.63May 16, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$32.39May 16, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34.39May 16, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$66.25May 16, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$43.53May 14, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$32.97May 13, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$118.36May 13, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00May 9, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00May 9, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$8.00May 9, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$12.07May 4, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$5.00May 4, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$151.00May 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$55.67May 1, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$19.21May 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$2.53Apr 30, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$2.42Apr 28, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.79Apr 26, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $9.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.