OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Probability

29¢

-1.5pp

24h

+5.0pp

24h Vol

$704.69

Liquidity

$17.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+15.2pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:19

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6017.7h
LOW
11:19Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
11:00Price
Probability down -9.4pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 7.6pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
04:00Price
Probability up 5.1pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 4.9pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 3.9pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 4.6pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 4.6pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 4.7pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 3.7pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.4pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.7pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.8pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.2pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.1pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.9pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 26.4pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 24.6pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 26.3pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 26.3pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 25.4pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 21.4pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 23.4pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 24.4pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 29.7pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventSolstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jan 1, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Wide spread (24.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket