Will Borussia Mönchengladbach qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-42.4pp
24h Vol
$560.05
Liquidity
$500.11
Probability (last 7 days)
-48.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 42pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3056h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $500 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3055.9h
- 16:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3056h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.3pp
to 0¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.9pp
to 1¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.7pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.9pp
to 1¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.8pp
to 1¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.8pp
to 1¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.7pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 10¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.8pp
to 27¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 36¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).