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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Mar 31, 2026

Will Clavicular go clubbing 0-2 times in March?

Probability

13¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$25.53

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 24.1¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 12:24Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the number of times Clavicular goes clubbing during the month of March 2026. "Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time. Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count. Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify. Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night. The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (24.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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