Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?
Probability
86¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 24.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6013.2h
- 15:49SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 84¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 86¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 88¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.7pp
to 86¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 88¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 86¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 85¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 85¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 88¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 88¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 88¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 87¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 87¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 87¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 88¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 88¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.2pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.7pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.2pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.1pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.3pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 86¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 86¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 86¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 upgrade goes live on mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (24.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).