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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on April 25?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.4pp

24h Vol

$379.35

Liquidity

$8.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $8.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.6h

    HIGH
  • 12:26Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -42.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -41.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -42.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -42.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -47.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -47.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -47.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -47.5pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -47.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -24.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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