Grizzled-Birthday
0xb0f1f2684e8f42a24e7b73068788da4901f09f29
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$266.12
Total PnL
$51.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
37 shares @ 13.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.76
$21.76
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$18.44
$8.44
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.17
$12.32
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.60
$10.60
- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.33
$8.33
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.27
$5.27
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.29
$3.29
- NO
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$7.96
$2.96
- NO
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
32 shares @ 30.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.61
$-2.39
- NO
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.11
$2.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?$5.16Jun 10, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$13.51Jun 10, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?$17.86Jun 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?$5.14Jun 9, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?$5.16Jun 9, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?$5.14Jun 9, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$5.15Jun 9, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?$5.16Jun 9, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?$5.15Jun 9, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?$5.16Jun 9, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?$5.16Jun 9, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?$5.16Jun 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?$5.15Jun 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?$5.13Jun 8, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?$5.15Jun 8, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?$5.14Jun 8, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?$5.15Jun 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?$5.14Jun 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?$5.16Jun 8, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.