Will the DHS shutdown end between April 20-26 2026?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.2pp
24h Vol
$41.06
Liquidity
$14.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-28.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2321.7h
- 06:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2322h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 2¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 2¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 2¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 2¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 2¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 2¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.7pp
to 2¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.6pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.1pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.3pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 9¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 14¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on FebruaryOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).