Dismal-Close-Sweets
0x240b6997ab101af37c7454307381ea0b08aade12
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$17.57
Total PnL
$-100.56
Realised
$-35.44
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$8.69
$7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$3.11
$2.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$2.93
$1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$2.84
$1.88
- NO
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
32 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
- NO
Will North West release an album by December 31?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$8.33Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$12.20Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$7.58Jun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.80Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMCory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?$13.68Jun 1, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$8.07Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$10.42Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$7.69May 16, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?$8.73May 16, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 14, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?$0.00May 13, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?$0.00May 13, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?$0.00May 13, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Blake Lively attend the Met Gala?$0.00May 13, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye tweet again by April 30?$0.00May 13, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.00May 13, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?$0.00May 13, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 13, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Axsome Therapeutics' AXS-05?$0.00May 13, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.