0xe5e59ff5136098bce48590e5ef70940bef9a485a
0xe5e59ff5136098bce48590e5ef70940bef9a485a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$173.41
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-132.83
Win rate
8%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.03
$24.93
- NO
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 13.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.31
$26.31
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
32 shares @ 47.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.19
$13.19
- YES
Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
673 shares @ 0.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$21.21
$15.10
- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.54
$10.18
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
44 shares @ 20.3¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$15.51
$6.52
- NO
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
39 shares @ 28.9¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.55
$-2.69
- NO
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
32 shares @ 22.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.33
$-2.74
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.89
$-2.11
- YES
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
995 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.49
$-4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?$8.40Jun 11, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYZoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?$5.11Jun 10, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?$5.09Jun 10, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$5.18Jun 2, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?$32.63Jun 1, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$20.45Jun 1, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$9.09Jun 1, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$17.68Jun 1, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?$21.38Jun 1, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$10.20Jun 1, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$10.20Jun 1, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$29.11Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$14.11Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMCory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?$14.50Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti elections delayed again?$5.07Jun 1, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?$8.47Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$17.17Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?$50.00Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$58.33Jun 1, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.