Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by June 30, 2026?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $22.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.