Will Bharath Swamy win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-20.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 283.1h
- 10:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 283h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.8pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 1¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).