Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,250,000 and $1,285,000 on April 30?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$957.00
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 130h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $957 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 129.7h
- 14:19SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 130h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).